Two Reports. One District. A Complete Picture.

Hydroclimatic Variability in Jhansi District
Water Heat

Jhansi: rising summer heat, falling summer rainfall

Block-level risk profile for 8 blocks, built on IMD gridded data.

2026 · Jhansi, Uttar Pradesh · PDF
Longterm Monsoonal Hydroclimate Variability in Jhansi
Water Monsoon

Hydroclimatic Variability & Water Availability in Jhansi District

Longterm monsoonal hydroclimate variability and its implications for water availability across 8 blocks.

2026 · Jhansi, Uttar Pradesh · PDF

About the Research

ClimAgro's District Hydroclimatic Assessments are peer-reviewed research publications examining how shifting rainfall, temperature trajectories, and heat extremes reshape water security and agriculture across vulnerable districts.

Data & Methods

IMD gridded rainfall (0.25°×0.25°, 1901–2024) and temperature records (1°×1°, 1951–2024). Trends computed using Mann-Kendall analysis with Sen's slope. IPCC AR6 1981–2010 baseline.

Who This Is For

Water planners, agricultural policymakers, district administrators, NGO practitioners, climate researchers, and finance professionals engaged in climate risk and adaptation planning across India.

Abstract

Key Findings — Block-Level Maps
Babina 7.8 mm/day Moth 7.2 mm/day Chirgaon 6.9 mm/day Jhansi 6.5 mm/day Gursarai 6.8 mm/day Mauranipur 5.8 mm/day Bangra 6.2 mm/day Samthar 6.6 mm/day Jhansi Block 6.5 mm/day avg. Below district avg Low (5.5) High (8.0 mm/day) IPCC Baseline · ClimAgro Analytics 2025

Fig. 4b · Average daily monsoon rainfall (mm) across Jhansi blocks, 1981–2010 · IPCC AR6 baseline

Block-wise Average Monsoon Rainfall — Jhansi (1981–2010) 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 7.8 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.8 5.8 6.6 Babina Moth Chirgaon Jhansi Gursarai Mauranipur Samthar mm/day ClimAgro Analytics · IPCC AR6 Baseline 2025

Fig. 5 · Block-wise average daily monsoon rainfall comparison — Jhansi District vs UP State · 1981–2010

Babina +1.8°C Moth +1.6°C Chirgaon +1.5°C Jhansi +1.9°C ▲ Gursarai +1.6°C Mauranipur +1.3°C Bangra +1.5°C Samthar +1.7°C Jhansi Block Highest warming: +1.9°C 1951–2024 trend +1.0°C +2.0°C IPCC AR6 · ClimAgro Analytics 2025

Fig. 2c–d · Summer mean temperature change (°C) · Jhansi blocks vs UP state · 1951–2024

Summer Mean Temperature Trend — Jhansi District (1951–2024) +2.0°C +1.5°C +1.0°C +0.5°C 1951 1971 1994 2024 +1.9°C Jhansi avg. 2024 Source: IMD · IPCC AR6 · ClimAgro Analytics 2025

Fig. 2d · Summer mean temperature trend (°C change) — Jhansi district · 73-year record · 1951–2024

Key Quantitative Findings
Full Report Contents

The full 18-page PDF includes detailed block-level spatial risk maps, IMD rainfall trend analysis across all 8 blocks of Jhansi district, heatwave intensity projections, Sen's slope magnitude tables, and policy-ready adaptation recommendations aligned with IPCC AR6 frameworks.

Additional sections cover groundwater depletion indices, seasonal onset shift analysis, Tx5d extreme heat day frequencies, and a comparative risk matrix for agricultural planning across Bundelkhand's most vulnerable blocks.

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